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e-Article

Improvements to Statistical Characterization and Modeling, and a Caution to be Aware of Spurious Correlation in Statistical Simulation
Document Type
Periodical
Source
IEEE Transactions on Computer-Aided Design of Integrated Circuits and Systems IEEE Trans. Comput.-Aided Des. Integr. Circuits Syst. Computer-Aided Design of Integrated Circuits and Systems, IEEE Transactions on. 42(7):2252-2263 Jul, 2023
Subject
Components, Circuits, Devices and Systems
Computing and Processing
Integrated circuit modeling
Standards
Data models
Fitting
Correlation
Semiconductor device measurement
Noise measurement
Analog integrated circuits
mismatch
statistics
yield estimation
Language
ISSN
0278-0070
1937-4151
Abstract
This article presents two improvements to, and a warning about a previously unrecognized issue with, statistical modeling, characterization, and simulation. We focus on mismatch, which is key for analog IC design, but the topics addressed are generic. For relative variation (i.e., % difference), we show that conventional measures have significant issues when the variation is large. We present two new measures of % difference between $y_{2}$ and $y_{1}$ and show that $100 \cdot {\mathrm {ln}} (y_{2} / y_{1})$ is the only measure that is physically correct for mismatch. We review existing, but not widely known, robust alternatives to the textbook approach to estimate standard deviation, show the limitations of these, and propose a new method that is intermediate between, and overcomes limitations of, the textbook and robust approaches. We then show how the accuracy of mismatch simulation, critical for analog IC design, is affected by “spurious correlation” between statistical samples; we are not aware that the importance of this has been recognized previously.