학술논문

Child and Adolescent Health From 1990 to 2015: Findings From the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors 2015 Study
Document Type
Author
Kassebaum, NicholasKyu, Hmwe HmweZoeckler, LeoOlsen, Helen ElizabethThomas, KatiePinho, ChristineBhutta, Zulfiqar ADandona, LalitFerrari, AlizeGhiwot, Tsegaye TeweldeHay, Simon IKinfu, YohannesLiang, XiaofengLopez, AlanMalta, Deborah CarvalhoMokdad, Ali HNaghavi, MohsenPatton, George CSalomon, JoshuaSartorius, BennTopor-Madry, RomanVollset, Stein EmilWerdecker, AndreaWhiteford, Harvey AAbate, Kalkidan HasenAbbas, KajaAbreha Damtew, SolomonAhmed, Muktar BeshirAkseer, NadiaAl-Raddadi, RajaaAlemayohu, Mulubirhan AssefaAltirkawi, KhalidAbajobir, Amanuel AlemuAmare, Azmeraw TAntonio, Carl A TÄrnlöv, JohanArtaman, AlAsayesh, HamidAvokpaho, Euripide Frinel G ArthurAwasthi, AshishAyala Quintanilla, Beatriz PaulinaBacha, UmarBalem, DimtsuBarac, AleksandraBärnighausen, Till WinfriedBaye, EstifanosBedi, NeerajBensenor, Isabela MBerhane, AdugnawBernabe, EduardoBernal, Oscar AlbertoBeyene, Addisu ShunuBiadgilign, SibhatuBikbov, BorisBoyce, Cheryl AnneBrazinova, AlexandraHailu, Gessessew BugssaCarter, AustinCastañeda-Orjuela, Carlos ACatalá-López, FerránCharlson, Fiona JChitheer, Abdulaal AChoi, Jee-Young JasmineCiobanu, Liliana GCrump, JohnDandona, RakhiDellavalle, Robert PDeribew, AmaredeVeber, GabrielleDicker, DanielBetsu, Balem BalmDing, Eric LDubey, ManishaEndries, Amanuel YesufErskine, Holly EFaraon, Emerito Jose AquinoFaro, AndreFarzadfar, FarshadFernandes, Joao CFijabi, Daniel ObadareFitzmaurice, ChristinaFleming, Thomas DFlor, Luisa SorioForeman, Kyle JFranklin, Richard CFraser, Maya SFrostad, Joseph JFullman, NancyGebregergs, Gebremedhin BerheGebru, Alemseged AregayGeleijnse, Johanna MGibney, Katherine BGidey Yihdego, MahariGinawi, Ibrahim Abdelmageem MohamedGishu, Melkamu DedefoGizachew, Tessema AssefaGlaser, ElizabethGold, Audra LGoldberg, EllenGona, PhilimonGoto, AtsushiGugnani, Harish ChanderJiang, GuohongGupta, RajeevTesfay, Fisaha HaileHankey, Graeme JHavmoeller, RasmusHijar, MarthaHorino, MasakoHosgood, H DeanHu, GuoqingJacobsen, Kathryn HJakovljevic, Mihajlo BJayaraman, Sudha PJha, VivekanandJibat, TarikuJohnson, Catherine OJonas, JostKasaeian, AmirKawakami, NoritoKeiyoro, Peter NKhalil, IbrahimKhang, Young-HoKhubchandani, JagdishAhmad Kiadaliri, Aliasghar AKieling, ChristianKim, DanielKissoon, NiranjanKnibbs, Luke DKoyanagi, AiKrohn, Kristopher JKuate Defo, BarthelemyKucuk Bicer, BurcuKulikoff, RachelKumar, G AnilLal, Dharmesh KumarLam, Hilton YLarson, Heidi JLarsson, AndersLaryea, Dennis OdaiLeung, JanniLim, Stephen SLo, Loon-TzianLo, Warren DLooker, Katharine JLotufo, Paulo AMagdy Abd, HassanEl Razek, RazekMalekzadeh, RezaMarkos Shifti, DesalegnMazidi, MohsenMeaney, Peter AMeles, Kidanu GebremariamMemiah, PeterMendoza, WalterAbera Mengistie, MubarekMengistu, Gebremichael WeldayMensah, George AMiller, Ted RMock, CharlesMohammadi, AlirezaMohammed, ShafiuMonasta, LorenzoMueller, UlrichNagata, ChieNaheed, AliyaNguyen, GrantNguyen, Quyen LeNsoesie, ElaineOh, In-HwanOkoro, AnselmOlusanya, Jacob OlusegunOlusanya, Bolajoko OOrtiz, AlbertoPaudel, DeepakPereira, David MPerico, NorbertoPetzold, MaxPhillips, Michael RobertPolanczyk, Guilherme VPourmalek, FarshadQorbani, MostafaRafay, AnwarRahimi-Movaghar, VafaRahman, MahfuzarRai, Rajesh KumarRam, UshaRankin, ZaneRemuzzi, GiuseppeRenzaho, Andre M NRoba, Hirbo ShoreRojas-Rueda, DavidRonfani, LucaSagar, RajeshSanabria, Juan RamonKedir Mohammed, Muktar SanoSantos, Itamar SSatpathy, MaheswarSawhney, MonikaSchöttker, BenSchwebel, David CScott, James GSepanlou, Sadaf GShaheen, AmiraShaikh, Masood AliShe, JuneShiri, RahmanShiue, IvySigfusdottir, Inga DoraSingh, JasvinderSlipakit, NarisSmith, AlisonSreeramareddy, ChandrashekharStanaway, Jeffrey DStein, Dan JSteiner, CaitlynSufiyan, Muawiyyah BabaleSwaminathan, SoumyaTabarés-Seisdedos, RafaelTabb, Karen MTadese, FentawTavakkoli, MohammadTaye, BineyamTeeple, StephanieTegegne, Teketo KassawTemam Shifa, GirmaTerkawi, Adbullah SuliemanThomas, BernadetteThomson, Alan JTobe-Gai, RuoyanTonelli, MarcelloTran, Bach XuanTroeger, ChristopherUkwaja, Kingsley NUthman, OlalekanVasankari, TommiVenketasubramanian, NarayanaswamyVlassov, Vasiliy VictorovichWeiderpass, ElisabeteWeintraub, RobertGebrehiwot, Solomon WeldemariamWesterman, RonnyWilliams, Hywel CWolfe, Charles D AWoodbrook, RachelYano, YuichiroYonemoto, NaohiroYoon, Seok-JunYounis, Mustafa ZYu, ChuanhuaZaki, Maysaa El SayedZegeye, Elias AsfawZuhlke, Liesl JoannaMurray, Christopher J LVos, Theo
Source
JAMA pediatrics. 171(6):573-592
Subject
Language
English
ISSN
2168-6203
2168-6211
Abstract
Importance: Comprehensive and timely monitoring of disease burden in all age groups, including children and adolescents, is essential for improving population health.Objective: To quantify and describe levels and trends of mortality and nonfatal health outcomes among children and adolescents from 1990 to 2015 to provide a framework for policy discussion.Evidence Review: Cause-specific mortality and nonfatal health outcomes were analyzed for 195 countries and territories by age group, sex, and year from 1990 to 2015 using standardized approaches for data processing and statistical modeling, with subsequent analysis of the findings to describe levels and trends across geography and time among children and adolescents 19 years or younger. A composite indicator of income, education, and fertility was developed (Socio-demographic Index [SDI]) for each geographic unit and year, which evaluates the historical association between SDI and health loss.Findings: Global child and adolescent mortality decreased from 14.18 million (95% uncertainty interval [UI], 14.09 million to 14.28 million) deaths in 1990 to 7.26 million (95% UI, 7.14 million to 7.39 million) deaths in 2015, but progress has been unevenly distributed. Countries with a lower SDI had a larger proportion of mortality burden (75%) in 2015 than was the case in 1990 (61%). Most deaths in 2015 occurred in South Asia and sub-Saharan Africa. Global trends were driven by reductions in mortality owing to infectious, nutritional, and neonatal disorders, which in the aggregate led to a relative increase in the importance of noncommunicable diseases and injuries in explaining global disease burden. The absolute burden of disability in children and adolescents increased 4.3% (95% UI, 3.1%-5.6%) from 1990 to 2015, with much of the increase owing to population growth and improved survival for children and adolescents to older ages. Other than infectious conditions, many top causes of disability are associated with long-term sequelae of conditions present at birth (eg, neonatal disorders, congenital birth defects, and hemoglobinopathies) and complications of a variety of infections and nutritional deficiencies. Anemia, developmental intellectual disability, hearing loss, epilepsy, and vision loss are important contributors to childhood disability that can arise from multiple causes. Maternal and reproductive health remains a key cause of disease burden in adolescent females, especially in lower-SDI countries. In low-SDI countries, mortality is the primary driver of health loss for children and adolescents, whereas disability predominates in higher-SDI locations; the specific pattern of epidemiological transition varies across diseases and injuries.Conclusions and Relevance: Consistent international attention and investment have led to sustained improvements in causes of health loss among children and adolescents in many countries, although progress has been uneven. The persistence of infectious diseases in some countries, coupled with ongoing epidemiologic transition to injuries and noncommunicable diseases, require all countries to carefully evaluate and implement appropriate strategies to maximize the health of their children and adolescents and for the international community to carefully consider which elements of child and adolescent health should be monitored.