학술논문

Long-Term Ozone Exposure and Mortality in a Large Prospective Study
Document Type
article
Source
American Journal of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine. 193(10)
Subject
Biomedical and Clinical Sciences
Cardiovascular Medicine and Haematology
Clinical Sciences
Prevention
Climate-Related Exposures and Conditions
Good Health and Well Being
Adult
Aged
Aged
80 and over
Air Pollutants
Air Pollution
Death
Environmental Exposure
Female
Humans
Male
Middle Aged
Ozone
Proportional Hazards Models
Prospective Studies
Puerto Rico
Risk
Risk Factors
Time
United States
air pollution
mortality
ozone
prospective study
Medical and Health Sciences
Respiratory System
Cardiovascular medicine and haematology
Clinical sciences
Language
Abstract
RationaleTropospheric ozone (O3) is potentially associated with cardiovascular disease risk and premature death. Results from long-term epidemiological studies on O3 are scarce and inconclusive.ObjectivesIn this study, we examined associations between chronic ambient O3 exposure and all-cause and cause-specific mortality in a large cohort of U.S. adults.MethodsCancer Prevention Study II participants were enrolled in 1982. A total of 669,046 participants were analyzed, among whom 237,201 deaths occurred through 2004. We obtained estimates of O3 concentrations at the participant's residence from a hierarchical Bayesian space-time model. Estimates of fine particulate matter (particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter of up to 2.5 μm [PM2.5]) and NO2 concentrations were obtained from land use regression. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to examine mortality associations adjusted for individual- and ecological-level covariates.Measurements and main resultsIn single-pollutant models, we observed significant positive associations between O3, PM2.5, and NO2 concentrations and all-cause and cause-specific mortality. In two-pollutant models adjusted for PM2.5, significant positive associations remained between O3 and all-cause (hazard ratio [HR] per 10 ppb, 1.02; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01-1.04), circulatory (HR, 1.03; 95% CI, 1.01-1.05), and respiratory mortality (HR, 1.12; 95% CI, 1.08-1.16) that were unchanged with further adjustment for NO2. We also observed positive mortality associations with both PM2.5 (both near source and regional) and NO2 in multipollutant models.ConclusionsFindings derived from this large-scale prospective study suggest that long-term ambient O3 contributes to risk of respiratory and circulatory mortality. Substantial health and environmental benefits may be achieved by implementing further measures aimed at controlling O3 concentrations.