학술논문
Integrated global assessment of the natural forest carbon potential
Document Type
article
Author
Mo, Lidong; Zohner, Constantin M; Reich, Peter B; Liang, Jingjing; de Miguel, Sergio; Nabuurs, Gert-Jan; Renner, Susanne S; van den Hoogen, Johan; Araza, Arnan; Herold, Martin; Mirzagholi, Leila; Ma, Haozhi; Averill, Colin; Phillips, Oliver L; Gamarra, Javier GP; Hordijk, Iris; Routh, Devin; Abegg, Meinrad; Adou Yao, Yves C; Alberti, Giorgio; Almeyda Zambrano, Angelica M; Alvarado, Braulio Vilchez; Alvarez-Dávila, Esteban; Alvarez-Loayza, Patricia; Alves, Luciana F; Amaral, Iêda; Ammer, Christian; Antón-Fernández, Clara; Araujo-Murakami, Alejandro; Arroyo, Luzmila; Avitabile, Valerio; Aymard, Gerardo A; Baker, Timothy R; Bałazy, Radomir; Banki, Olaf; Barroso, Jorcely G; Bastian, Meredith L; Bastin, Jean-Francois; Birigazzi, Luca; Birnbaum, Philippe; Bitariho, Robert; Boeckx, Pascal; Bongers, Frans; Bouriaud, Olivier; Brancalion, Pedro HS; Brandl, Susanne; Brearley, Francis Q; Brienen, Roel; Broadbent, Eben N; Bruelheide, Helge; Bussotti, Filippo; Cazzolla Gatti, Roberto; César, Ricardo G; Cesljar, Goran; Chazdon, Robin L; Chen, Han YH; Chisholm, Chelsea; Cho, Hyunkook; Cienciala, Emil; Clark, Connie; Clark, David; Colletta, Gabriel D; Coomes, David A; Cornejo Valverde, Fernando; Corral-Rivas, José J; Crim, Philip M; Cumming, Jonathan R; Dayanandan, Selvadurai; de Gasper, André L; Decuyper, Mathieu; Derroire, Géraldine; DeVries, Ben; Djordjevic, Ilija; Dolezal, Jiri; Dourdain, Aurélie; Engone Obiang, Nestor Laurier; Enquist, Brian J; Eyre, Teresa J; Fandohan, Adandé Belarmain; Fayle, Tom M; Feldpausch, Ted R; Ferreira, Leandro V; Finér, Leena; Fischer, Markus; Fletcher, Christine; Frizzera, Lorenzo; Gianelle, Damiano; Glick, Henry B; Harris, David J; Hector, Andrew; Hemp, Andreas; Hengeveld, Geerten; Hérault, Bruno; Herbohn, John L; Hillers, Annika; Honorio Coronado, Eurídice N; Hui, Cang; Ibanez, Thomas; Imai, Nobuo; Jagodziński, Andrzej M
Source
Nature. 624(7990)
Subject
Language
Abstract
Forests are a substantial terrestrial carbon sink, but anthropogenic changes in land use and climate have considerably reduced the scale of this system1. Remote-sensing estimates to quantify carbon losses from global forests2-5 are characterized by considerable uncertainty and we lack a comprehensive ground-sourced evaluation to benchmark these estimates. Here we combine several ground-sourced6 and satellite-derived approaches2,7,8 to evaluate the scale of the global forest carbon potential outside agricultural and urban lands. Despite regional variation, the predictions demonstrated remarkable consistency at a global scale, with only a 12% difference between the ground-sourced and satellite-derived estimates. At present, global forest carbon storage is markedly under the natural potential, with a total deficit of 226 Gt (model range = 151-363 Gt) in areas with low human footprint. Most (61%, 139 Gt C) of this potential is in areas with existing forests, in which ecosystem protection can allow forests to recover to maturity. The remaining 39% (87 Gt C) of potential lies in regions in which forests have been removed or fragmented. Although forests cannot be a substitute for emissions reductions, our results support the idea2,3,9 that the conservation, restoration and sustainable management of diverse forests offer valuable contributions to meeting global climate and biodiversity targets.