학술논문
Epidemic Propagation under Evolutionary Behavioral Dynamics: Stability and Bifurcation Analysis
Document Type
Conference
Source
2022 American Control Conference (ACC) Control Conference (ACC), 2022 American. :3662-3667 Jun, 2022
Subject
Language
ISSN
2378-5861
Abstract
We consider the class of SIS epidemic models in which a large population of individuals chooses whether to adopt protection or to remain unprotected as the epidemic evolves. For a susceptible individual, adopting protection reduces the probability of becoming infected but it comes with a cost that is weighed with the instantaneous risk of becoming infected. An infected individual adopting protection transmits a new infection with a smaller probability compared to an unprotected infected individual. We focus on the replicator evolutionary dynamics to model the evolution of protection decisions by susceptible and infected subpopulations. We completely characterize the existence and local stability of the equilibria of the resulting coupled epidemic and replicator dynamics. We further show how the stability of different equilibrium points gets exchanged as certain parameters change. Finally, we investigate the system behavior under timescale separation between the epidemic and the evolutionary dynamics.