학술논문

Reducing Uncertainties of a Chained Hydrologic-Hydraulic Models to Improve Flood Forecasting Using Multi-Source Earth Observation Data
Document Type
Conference
Source
IGARSS 2023 - 2023 IEEE International Geoscience and Remote Sensing Symposium Geoscience and Remote Sensing Symposium, IGARSS 2023 - 2023 IEEE International. :1525-1528 Jul, 2023
Subject
Aerospace
Components, Circuits, Devices and Systems
Fields, Waves and Electromagnetics
Geoscience
Signal Processing and Analysis
Uncertainty
Surface discharges
Computational modeling
Predictive models
Data models
Time measurement
Floods
Flooding
hydrologic-hydraulic
data assimilation
RAPID
TELEMAC-2D
Language
ISSN
2153-7003
Abstract
The challenges in operational flood forecasting lie in producing reliable forecasts given constrained computational resources and within processing times that are compatible with near-real-time forecasting. Flood hydrodynamic models exploit observed data from gauge networks, e.g. water surface elevation (WSE) and/or discharge that describe the forcing time-series at the upstream and lateral boundary conditions of the model. A chained hydrologic-hydraulic model is thus interesting to allow extended lead time forecasts and overcome the limits of forecast when using only observed gauge measurements. This research work focuses on comprehensively reducing the uncertainties in the model parameters, hydraulic state and especially the forcing data in order to improve the overall flood reanalysis and forecast performance. It aims at assimilating two main complementary EO data sources, namely in-situ WSE and SAR-derived flood extent observations.