학술논문

Estimation of Asthma Symptom Onset Using Internet Search Queries: Lag-Time Series Analysis
Document Type
article
Source
JMIR Public Health and Surveillance, Vol 7, Iss 5, p e18593 (2021)
Subject
Public aspects of medicine
RA1-1270
Language
English
ISSN
2369-2960
Abstract
BackgroundAsthma affects over 330 million people worldwide. Timing of an asthma event is extremely important and lack of identification of asthma increases the risk of death. A major challenge for health systems is the length of time between symptom onset and care seeking, which could result in delayed treatment initiation and worsening of symptoms. ObjectiveThis study evaluates the utility of the internet search query data for the identification of the onset of asthma symptoms. MethodsPearson correlation coefficients between the time series of hospital admissions and Google searches were computed at lag times from 4 weeks before hospital admission to 4 weeks after hospital admission. An autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMAX) model with an autoregressive process at lags of 1 and 2 and Google searches at weeks –1 and –2 as exogenous variables were conducted to validate our correlation results. ResultsGoogle search volume for asthma had the highest correlation at 2 weeks before hospital admission. The ARIMAX model using an autoregressive process showed that the relative searches from Google about asthma were significant at lags 1 (P