학술논문

Bayesian spatial survival modelling for dengue fever in Makassar, Indonesia
Document Type
article
Source
Gaceta Sanitaria, Vol 35, Iss , Pp S59-S63 (2021)
Subject
Conditional autoregressive
Dengue fever
Hazard rate
Spatial survival
Weibull model
Public aspects of medicine
RA1-1270
Language
English
Spanish; Castilian
ISSN
0213-9111
55389597
Abstract
Objective: To understand the spatial pattern of dengue fever (DF) patients’ survival and investigated factors influencing DF patients’ survival. Method: A Bayesian spatial survival method via a conditional autoregressive approach was used to analyze the factors that influence DF patients’ survival in 14 sub-districts from January 2015 to May 2017 in Makassar city, Indonesia. Bayesian spatial and a non-spatial model were compared by using deviance information criterion. Results: The spatial model was more suitable than a non-spatial model. Under the Bayesian spatial model, there was a substantive relationship between age, grade and DF patients’ survival time. Conclusions: The relative risk map and related factors of DF patients’ survival can indicate the health policy makers to give special attention to the high risk areas in order to faster and more targeted treatment.