부산대학교 도서관

Strong solar magnetic fields are the energy source of intense flares and energetic coronal mass ejections of space weather importance. The key issue is the difficulty in predicting the occurrence time and location of strong solar eruptions, those leading to high impact space weather disturbances at the near-Earth environment. Here, we report regular solar mapping made at X-band (8.1 -- 9.2 GHz) with the Arecibo 12-m radio telescope. This has demonstrated its potential for identifying active regions, about one half to a day in advance, when they rotate on to the central meridian of the Sun, and predicting the strongest flares and coronal mass ejections directed towards the Earth. Results show (i) a good correlation between the temporal evolution of brightness temperature of active regions and their magnetic configurations; (ii) the ability of the mapping data to provide a better picture of the formation sites of active regions and to accurately track their evolution across the solar disk, giving forewarning of intense solar eruptions leading to severe space weather consequences; (iii) the importance of long-term monitoring of the Sun at X-band for understanding the complex three-dimensional evolution of solar features as a function of solar activity. The key point in this study is the identification of the magnetic properties of active regions on the solar disk to aid in improving forecast strategies for extreme space-weather events.
Comment: 27 pages, 17 figures, submitted to Solar Physics