학술논문

Model and variable selection using machine learning methods with applications to childhood stunting in Bangladesh.
Document Type
Article
Source
Informatics for Health & Social Care. 2021, Vol. 46 Issue 4, p425-442. 18p.
Subject
*BIRTH intervals
*MACHINE learning
*STUNTED growth
*SUPPORT vector machines
*PUBLIC health
*RANDOM forest algorithms
Language
ISSN
1753-8157
Abstract
Childhood stunting is a serious public health concern in Bangladesh. Earlier research used conventional statistical methods to identify the risk factors of stunting, and very little is known about the applications and usefulness of machine learning (ML) methods that can identify the risk factors of various health conditions based on complex data. This research evaluates the performance of ML methods in predicting stunting among under-5 aged children using 2014 Bangladesh Demographic and Health Survey data. Besides, this paper identifies variables which are important to predict stunting in Bangladesh. Among the selected ML methods, gradient boosting provides the smallest misclassification error in predicting stunting, followed by random forests, support vector machines, classification tree and logistic regression with forward-stepwise selection. The top 10 important variables (in order of importance) that better predict childhood stunting in Bangladesh are child age, wealth index, maternal education, preceding birth interval, paternal education, division, household size, maternal age at first birth, maternal nutritional status, and parental age. Our study shows that ML can support the building of prediction models and emphasizes on the demographic, socioeconomic, nutritional and environmental factors to understand stunting in Bangladesh. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]