학술논문

909Testing 'hardening hypotheses' in 30 Global Adult Tobacco Survey countries: an ecological study.
Document Type
Article
Source
International Journal of Epidemiology. 2021 Supplement, Vol. 50, p1-1. 1p.
Subject
*SMOKING statistics
*TOBACCO smoke
*ECOLOGICAL surveys
*TOBACCO
*CIGARETTE smoke
*NICOTINE addiction
*LOGISTIC regression analysis
Language
ISSN
0300-5771
Abstract
Background Evidence from high-income countries suggests "softening" but not "hardening" occurs when smoking prevalence decreases; however, evidence is lacking from developing countries. Methods We constructed heaviness of smoking index (HIS) based on cigarettes smoked per day (CPD) and time-to-first-cigarette (TTFC) and a score of 4-6 was high nicotine dependence; Hardcore smokers (HCS) are daily smokers who smoked within 30 minutes after waking up, smoke ≥10 cigarettes per day, have not made any quit attempts in 12 months, and have no intention to quit at all or during next 12 months; light smokers (<10 CPD or occasional smokers). We plotted two-way linear prediction graphs using country-level data and estimated Spearmańs rank-correlation coefficient. On pooled data multi-level binary logistic regression analyses for HCS, high dependence and light smoker. Results Among men and women range (lowest vs. highest) of rates varied between countries and were lower among women. Daily smoking prevalence was moderately and positively correlated with hard-core smoking (Rsp=0.473), and high dependence (Rsp=0.384) but negatively correlated with light smoking (Rsp=-0.677). HCS and high dependence were associated with socio-economic factors but effect sizes were higher for women. Among GDP and tobacco control score showed protective effect for HCS and high dependence but increased risk for light smoking. Conclusions Positive relationship of daily smoking with HCS and high dependence and its negative relationship with light smoking is contrary to "hardening hypothesis". Key messages Hardening may not happen in developing countries as well. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]