학술논문
How to lose as little as possible.
Document Type
Journal
Author
Addona, Vittorio (1-MACA) AMS Author Profile; Wagon, Stan (1-MACA) AMS Author Profile; Wilf, Herb (1-PA) AMS Author Profile
Source
Subject
33 Special functions -- 33D Basic hypergeometric functions
33D45Basic orthogonal polynomials and functions
60Probability theory and stochastic processes -- 60C Combinatorial probability
60C05Combinatorial probability
33D45
60
60C05
Language
English
Abstract
Summary: ``Suppose Alice has a coin with heads probability $q$ and Bob has one with heads probability $p > q$. Now each of them will toss their coin $n$ times, and Alice will win if and only if she gets more heads than Bob does. Evidently the game favors Bob, but for the given $p,q$, what is the choice of $n$ that maximizes Alice's chances of winning? We show that there is an essentially unique value $N(q,p)$ of $n$ that maximizes the probability $f(n)$ that the weak coin will win, and it satisfies $\lfloor\frac1{2(p-q)}-\frac12\rfloor\le N(q,p)\le\lceil\frac{\max(1-p,q)}{p-q}\rceil$. The analysis uses the multivariate form of Zeilberger's algorithm to find an indicator function $J_n(q,p)$ such that $J>0$ if and only if $n