학술논문

Identification of human-induced changes in atmospheric moisture content
Document Type
article
Source
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 104(39)
Subject
Climate Action
Air Movements
Atmosphere
Climate
Computer Simulation
Earth
Planet
Ecology
Greenhouse Effect
Human Activities
Humans
Humidity
Microwaves
Sunlight
Time Factors
Water
climate change
climate modeling
detection and attribution
water vapor
Language
Abstract
Data from the satellite-based Special Sensor Microwave Imager (SSM/I) show that the total atmospheric moisture content over oceans has increased by 0.41 kg/m(2) per decade since 1988. Results from current climate models indicate that water vapor increases of this magnitude cannot be explained by climate noise alone. In a formal detection and attribution analysis using the pooled results from 22 different climate models, the simulated "fingerprint" pattern of anthropogenically caused changes in water vapor is identifiable with high statistical confidence in the SSM/I data. Experiments in which forcing factors are varied individually suggest that this fingerprint "match" is primarily due to human-caused increases in greenhouse gases and not to solar forcing or recovery from the eruption of Mount Pinatubo. Our findings provide preliminary evidence of an emerging anthropogenic signal in the moisture content of earth's atmosphere.