학술논문

Validation of Cell-Cycle Arrest Biomarkers for Acute Kidney Injury Using Clinical Adjudication
Document Type
article
Source
American Journal of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine. 189(8)
Subject
Clinical Research
Kidney Disease
4.2 Evaluation of markers and technologies
Detection
screening and diagnosis
Renal and urogenital
Acute Kidney Injury
Aged
Aged
80 and over
Biomarkers
Cell Death
Cohort Studies
Critical Illness
Female
Humans
Insulin-Like Growth Factor Binding Proteins
Male
Middle Aged
Predictive Value of Tests
Prospective Studies
Protease Inhibitors
Sensitivity and Specificity
Severity of Illness Index
Time Factors
Tissue Inhibitor of Metalloproteinase-2
United States
acute kidney injury
biomarkers
cell-cycle arrest
tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinases-2
insulin-like growth factor binding protein 7
Medical and Health Sciences
Respiratory System
Language
Abstract
RationaleWe recently reported two novel biomarkers for acute kidney injury (AKI), tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinases (TIMP)-2 and insulin-like growth factor binding protein 7 (IGFBP7), both related to G1 cell cycle arrest.ObjectivesWe now validate a clinical test for urinary [TIMP-2]·[IGFBP7] at a high-sensitivity cutoff greater than 0.3 for AKI risk stratification in a diverse population of critically ill patients.MethodsWe conducted a prospective multicenter study of 420 critically ill patients. The primary analysis was the ability of urinary [TIMP-2]·[IGFBP7] to predict moderate to severe AKI within 12 hours. AKI was adjudicated by a committee of three independent expert nephrologists who were masked to the results of the test.Measurements and main resultsUrinary TIMP-2 and IGFBP7 were measured using a clinical immunoassay platform. The primary endpoint was reached in 17% of patients. For a single urinary [TIMP-2]·[IGFBP7] test, sensitivity at the prespecified high-sensitivity cutoff of 0.3 (ng/ml)(2)/1,000 was 92% (95% confidence interval [CI], 85-98%) with a negative likelihood ratio of 0.18 (95% CI, 0.06-0.33). Critically ill patients with urinary [TIMP-2]·[IGFBP7] greater than 0.3 had seven times the risk for AKI (95% CI, 4-22) compared with critically ill patients with a test result below 0.3. In a multivariate model including clinical information, urinary [TIMP-2]·[IGFBP7] remained statistically significant and a strong predictor of AKI (area under the curve, 0.70, 95% CI, 0.63-0.76 for clinical variables alone, vs. area under the curve, 0.86, 95% CI, 0.80-0.90 for clinical variables plus [TIMP-2]·[IGFBP7]).ConclusionsUrinary [TIMP-2]·[IGFBP7] greater than 0.3 (ng/ml)(2)/1,000 identifies patients at risk for imminent AKI. Clinical trial registered with www.clinicaltrials.gov (NCT 01573962).