학술논문

FUTURE CHANGE IN THE POSSIBLE STORM-SURGE LEVELS INDUCED BY EXPLOSIVE CYCLONES OF THE JAPAN-SEA AND PACIFIC-OCEAN TRAJECTORY TYPES / 北西太平洋域における爆弾低気圧の経路タイプ別高潮水位の将来変化
Document Type
Journal Article
Source
土木学会論文集B2(海岸工学) / Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B2 (Coastal Engineering). 2022, 78(2)73
Subject
Explosive cyclones
future climate
statistic storm-surge height
trajectory types of the winter cyclones
winter storm surge
Language
Japanese
ISSN
1883-8944
1884-2399
Abstract
Although extratropical cyclogenesis is associated with the baroclinic instability, their explosive development is contributed by release of the latent heat in a moist air over the ocean. It is concerned that intensification of explosive cyclones occurs due to the rise in sea surface temperature in a future climate This study characterizes future change of the explosive cyclones classified by their trajectory types by using the data in the future climate database, d4PDF, and then discusses on the statistic surge level induced by the winter cyclones. The acceleration of the cyclone development might contribute to increase the static surge levels in a relatively low latitude area.

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