학술논문

Myanmar's Optimal Power Generation Mix and Grid Interconnection Considering Climate Policies: A Quantitative Analysis Using a Cost Minimization Model / 気候変動対策を考慮したミャンマーの最適電源構成と国際連系線に関する評価:コスト最小化モデルを用いた定量分析
Document Type
Journal Article
Source
エネルギー・資源学会論文誌 / Journal of Japan Society of Energy and Resources. 2022, 43(5):186
Subject
Cost minimization
International interconnection
Myanmar
Power mix
Language
Japanese
ISSN
2433-0531
Abstract
In Myanmar, it is unclear how long the political turmoil caused by the military coup will last. However, one of the keys to sustainable economic development of the country and living standard improvement of the people continues to be tackling the increasing demand for electricity. This requires Myanmar’s government to construct an electricity supply system based on long-term planning and to consider the installation of international interconnection lines under the situation where many countries is starting to go forward to decarbonization. Therefore, this paper illustrates the preferable energy mix for Myanmar in 2050 from the perspective of the 3Es (economic efficiency, environmental sustainability and energy security) in multiple scenarios, setting different carbon prices and hydropower potentials for Myanmar. In conclusion, Myanmar should strongly promote hydropower development, including large-scale power plants, which will contribute to ensuring the 3Es, and also promote the development of international interconnection lines with neighboring Thailand, which will improve the fiscal revenue from the electricity export.