학술논문

Dynamic Programming in Cricket: Optimizing Batting Order for a Sticky Wicket
Document Type
research-article
Author
Source
The Journal of the Operational Research Society, 2007 Dec 01. 58(12), 1678-1682.
Subject
Sports
Cricket
Dynamic Programming
Strategies
Cricket
Optimal strategies
Dynamic programming
Night tables
Operations research
Modeling
Language
English
ISSN
01605682
14769360
Abstract
In cricket, a rain-affected pitch can make batting more difficult than normal. Several other conditions such as poor light or an initially lively pitch, may also result in difficulties for the batsmen. In this note, we refer to all of them as 'sticky wickets'. On sticky wickets, lower order batsmen are often sent into 'hold the fort' until conditions improve. In this paper, a stochastic dynamic programming model is used to examine the appropriateness of this policy. The model suggests that the tactic is often optimal when the sticky wicket persists until the end of the day's play, but not often when the sticky wicket is transitory. In some circumstances, it is worthwhile, on a normal wicket near the end of the day, to send in a lower order batsman to hold the fort (a night watchman): when the wicket is sticky, this tactic is even more worthwhile.