학술논문

Societal shifts due to COVID-19 reveal large-scale complexities and feedbacks between atmospheric chemistry and climate change
Document Type
Report
Source
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States. November 16, 2021, Vol. 118 Issue 46, p1ai, 12 p.
Subject
United States
Language
English
ISSN
0027-8424
Abstract
The COVID-19 global pandemic and associated government lockdowns dramatically altered human activity, providing a window into how changes in individual behavior, enacted en masse, impact atmospheric composition. The resulting reductions in anthropogenic activity represent an unprecedented event that yields a glimpse into a future where emissions to the atmosphere are reduced. Furthermore, the abrupt reduction in emissions during the lockdown periods led to clearly observable changes in atmospheric composition, which provide direct insight into feedbacks between the Earth system and human activity. While air pollutants and greenhouse gases share many common anthropogenic sources, there is a sharp difference in the response of their atmospheric concentrations to COVID-19 emissions changes, due in large part to their different lifetimes. Here, we discuss several key takeaways from modeling and observational studies. First, despite dramatic declines in mobility and associated vehicular emissions, the atmospheric growth rates of greenhouse gases were not slowed, in part due to decreased ocean uptake of C[O.sub.2] and a likely increase in C[H.sub.4] lifetime from reduced N[O.sub.x] emissions. Second, the response of [O.sub.3] to decreased N[O.sub.x] emissions showed significant spatial and temporal variability, due to differing chemical regimes around the world. Finally, the overall response of atmospheric composition to emissions changes is heavily modulated by factors including carbon-cycle feedbacks to C[H.sub.4] and C[O.sub.2], background pollutant levels, the timing and location of emissions changes, and climate feedbacks on air quality, such as wildfres and the ozone climate penalty. COVID-19 | air quality | greenhouse gases | earth system | mitigation