학술논문
Research on the Effects of Urbanization on Steel Demand: An Empirical Study in China
Document Type
Article
Text
Text
Source
International Journal of u- and e- Service, Science and Technology, 11/30/2016, Vol. 9, Issue 11, p. 35-46
Subject
Language
영어(ENG)
ISSN
2005-4246
Abstract
Forecasting of steel demand is very important for our economy. In order to find out the connection between modernization and steel demand, we chose urbanization rate as a bridge. The study constructed an immigration model to indicate the urbanization process, then an system dynamics model was established to forecast the steel demand based on steel needs per capita. The result showed that the peak of steel demand in China would be around 100 million tone, along with 72% urbanization rate.