학술논문
On the uncertainty of estimating global climate change and its potential impacts on vegetation
Document Type
Conference
Author
Source
Proceedings of 1995 IEEE International Conference on Fuzzy Systems. Fuzzy systems Fuzzy Systems, 1995. International Joint Conference of the Fourth IEEE International Conference on Fuzzy Systems and The Second International Fuzzy Engineering Symposium., Proceedings of 1995 IEEE Int. 1:171-178 vol.1 1995
Subject
Language
Abstract
We have developed an Asian-Pacific integrated model (AIM) that is a large-scale model for scenario analyses of greenhouse gas emissions and the impacts of global warming in the Asian-Pacific region. The AIM comprises two main models - the AIM/emission model for predicting greenhouse gas emissions and the AIM/impact model for estimating the impacts of global warming. With this model, we have estimated CO/sub 2/ emissions based on future predictions of socioeconomic and natural factors taking into account various uncertainties. Next, assuming climate change scenarios deduced from AIM/emission and general circulation model (GCM) experiments, primacy impacts on natural vegetation have been assessed spatially.ETX