학술논문

Ordinal Logistic Regression With Partial Proportional Odds for Depression Prediction
Document Type
Periodical
Source
IEEE Transactions on Affective Computing IEEE Trans. Affective Comput. Affective Computing, IEEE Transactions on. 14(1):563-577 Jan, 2023
Subject
Computing and Processing
Robotics and Control Systems
Signal Processing and Analysis
Depression
Logistics
Predictive models
Computational modeling
Reliability
Mathematical model
Machine learning
Depression prediction
logistic regression
partial proportional odds
model selection
Language
ISSN
1949-3045
2371-9850
Abstract
Like many psychological scales, depression scales are ordinal in nature. Depression prediction from behavioral signals has so far been posed either as classification or regression problems. However, these naive approaches have fundamental issues because they are not focused on ranking, unlike ordinal regression, which is the most appropriate approach. Ordinal regression to date has comparatively few methods when compared with other branches in machine learning, and its usage is limited to specific research domains. Ordinal logistic regression (OLR) is one such method, which is an extension for ordinal data of the well-known logistic regression, but is not familiar in speech processing, affective computing or depression prediction. The primary aim of this article is to investigate proportionality structures and model selection for the design of ordinal regression systems within the logistic regression framework. A new greedy-based algorithm for partial proportional odds model selection (GREP) is proposed that allows the parsimonious design of effective ordinal logistic regression models, which avoids an exhaustive search and outperforms model selection using the Brant test. Evaluations on the DAIC-WOZ and AViD depression corpora show that OLR models exploiting GREP can outperform two competitive baseline systems (GSR and CNN), in terms of both RMSE and Spearman correlation.