학술논문

Moving Average-Based Performance Enhancement of Sample Convolution and Interactive Learning for Short-Term Load Forecasting
Document Type
Conference
Source
2022 IEEE International Symposium on Product Compliance Engineering - Asia (ISPCE-ASIA) Product Compliance Engineering - Asia (ISPCE-ASIA), 2022 IEEE International Symposium on. :1-6 Nov, 2022
Subject
Communication, Networking and Broadcast Technologies
Computing and Processing
Engineering Profession
Power, Energy and Industry Applications
Transportation
Support vector machines
Microwave integrated circuits
Load forecasting
Convolution
Predictive models
Information filters
Feature extraction
short-term load forecasting
maximal information coefficient
sample convolution and interactive learning
moving average filter
machine learning
Language
ISSN
2831-3410
Abstract
Efficient and accurate short-term load forecasting (STLF) is significance in modern electricity markets. However, accurate short-term load forecasting is challenging due to the non-stationary power load patterns. In this work, we propose a short-term load forecasting framework based on maximal information coefficient (MIC), moving average filter (MAF) and sample convolution and interactive learning (SCINet), Firstly, MIC is used for feature selection. Secondly, the filtered input features are decomposed using MAF individually. Finally, the data are used in an advanced SCINet for short-term load forecasting. The performance of the proposed method is evaluated using datasets from two different regions of the US electricity market. In addition, we compare the prediction results with support vector regression machines (SVR), long short-term memory networks (LSTM), temporal convolutional networks (TCN), light gradient boosting machine (LightGBM), artificial neural network (ANN), random forest (RF), and sample convolution and interaction networks (SCINet). The proposed model achieves accurate prediction results among all the machine learning models used in this paper.