학술논문

Comparison of RBF and MLP neural networks in short-term traffic flow forecasting
Document Type
Conference
Source
2010 International Conference on Power, Control and Embedded Systems Power, Control and Embedded Systems (ICPCES), 2010 International Conference on. :1-4 Nov, 2010
Subject
Power, Energy and Industry Applications
Computing and Processing
Components, Circuits, Devices and Systems
Communication, Networking and Broadcast Technologies
Artificial neural networks
Forecasting
Training
Power line communications
Neurons
Approximation algorithms
Predictive models
Artificial Neural Networks
Intelligent Transportation System
Language
Abstract
Expanding mathematical models and forecasting the traffic flow is a crucial case in studying the dynamic behaviors of the traffic systems these days. Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) are of the technologies presented recently that can be used in the intelligent transportation system field. In this paper, two different algorithms, the Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP) and the Radial Basis Function (RBF) have been discussed. In the training of the ANNs, we use historic data. Then we use ANNs for forecasting a daily real time short-term traffic flow. The ANNs are trained by the Back-Propagation (BP) algorithm. The variable coefficients produced by temporal signals improve the performance of the BP algorithm. The temporal signals provide a new method of learning called Temporal Difference Back-Propagation (TDBP) learning. We demonstrate the capability and the performance of the TDBP learning method with the simulation results. The data of the two lane street I-494 in Minnesota city are used for this analysis.