학술논문

Forecasting Air Quality in Kiev During 2022 Military Conflict Using Sentinel 5P and Optimized Machine Learning
Document Type
Periodical
Source
IEEE Transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing IEEE Trans. Geosci. Remote Sensing Geoscience and Remote Sensing, IEEE Transactions on. 61:1-10 2023
Subject
Geoscience
Signal Processing and Analysis
Atmospheric modeling
Air pollution
Predictive models
Prediction algorithms
Atmospheric measurements
Monitoring
Data models
Air quality monitoring
machine learning (ML)
PM₂.₅ concentration
sentinel 5P
Ukraine war
Language
ISSN
0196-2892
1558-0644
Abstract
Recent studies have demonstrated that the Ukraine–Russia war has incurred evident changes to anthropogenic activities in the Kiev metropolis. Hence, this work employs Sentinel 5P imagery and a novel artificial intelligence model for predicting air pollution in Kiev. A well-known machine learning (ML) model, namely, multilayer perceptron neural network (MLPNN), is coupled with electromagnetic field optimization (EFO) algorithm to predict the daily concentration of particulate matter 2.5 (PM 2.5 ). Initially, a dataset is prepared by collecting 11 meteorological, atmospheric, and temporal factors from remote sensing and ground measurements. Then, principal component analysis (PCA) is used to determine the most contributive factors and create a reduced dataset. Four scenarios are defined by considering the reduced/original dataset, along with, predicting the current day/one-day-ahead PM 2.5 . A sensitivity analysis revealed that the most accurate results were achieved for predicting one-day-ahead PM 2.5 using the reduced dataset. After adjusting the EFO-MLPNN hybrid model, its performance is compared to classical MLPNN and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS). According to the results, the EFO-MLPNN with a root mean square error (RMSE) of $6.68\,\,\mu \text{g}\cdot \text{m}^{-3}$ and Pearson correlation coefficient ( ${R}_{P}$ ) of 0.82 outperformed both MLPNN and ANFIS outcomes. These findings infer that by optimizing the MLPNN by EFO, its prediction accuracy can be improved. The proposed hybrid model is therefore recommended for more practical air quality estimation and decision-making in the studied site. Lastly, a monolithic neural-based formula is extracted from the EFO-MLPNN hybrid for the explicit prediction of PM 2.5 .