학술논문

Toward Holistic Energy Management by Electricity Load and Price Forecasting: A Comprehensive Survey
Document Type
Periodical
Source
IEEE Access Access, IEEE. 11:132604-132626 2023
Subject
Aerospace
Bioengineering
Communication, Networking and Broadcast Technologies
Components, Circuits, Devices and Systems
Computing and Processing
Engineered Materials, Dielectrics and Plasmas
Engineering Profession
Fields, Waves and Electromagnetics
General Topics for Engineers
Geoscience
Nuclear Engineering
Photonics and Electrooptics
Power, Energy and Industry Applications
Robotics and Control Systems
Signal Processing and Analysis
Transportation
Forecasting
Predictive models
Load modeling
Ground penetrating radar
Geophysical measurement techniques
Machine learning
Load forecasting
Electricity load forecasting
electricity price forecasting
deep learning
machine learning
metaheuristics
smart grids
Language
ISSN
2169-3536
Abstract
Electricity load and price data pose formidable challenges for forecasting due to their intricate characteristics, marked by high volatility and non-linearity. Machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) models have emerged as valuable tools for effectively predicting data exhibiting high volatility, frequent fluctuations, mean-reversion tendencies, and non-stationary behavior. Therefore, this review article is dedicated to providing a comprehensive exploration of the application of machine learning and deep learning techniques in the context of electricity load and price prediction. In contrast to existing literature, our study distinguishes itself in several key ways. We systematically examine ML and DL approaches employed for the prediction of electricity load and price, offering a meticulous analysis of their methodologies and performance. Furthermore, we furnish readers with a detailed compendium of the datasets utilized by these forecasting methods, elucidating the sources and specific characteristics underpinning these datasets. Then, we rigorously conduct a performance comparison across various performance metrics, facilitating a comprehensive assessment of the efficacy of different predictive models. Notably, this comparison is carried out using the same datasets that underlie the diverse methodologies reviewed within this study, ensuring a fair and consistent evaluation. Moreover, we provide an in-depth examination of the diverse performance measures and statistical tools employed in the studies considered, providing valuable insights into the analytical frameworks used to gauge forecasting accuracy and model robustness. Lastly, we devote significant attention to the identification and analysis of prevailing challenges within the realm of electricity load and price prediction. Additionally, we delve into prospective directions for future research, thereby contributing to the advancement of this critical field.