학술논문

Visual Approach Start Time Prediction for San Francisco Airport Using Machine Learning
Document Type
Conference
Source
2023 IEEE/AIAA 42nd Digital Avionics Systems Conference (DASC) Digital Avionics Systems Conference (DASC), 2023 IEEE/AIAA 42nd. :1-8 Oct, 2023
Subject
Aerospace
Communication, Networking and Broadcast Technologies
Computing and Processing
Training
Visualization
Schedules
Machine learning
Aerospace electronics
Airports
Delays
traffic flow management
airport capacity
weather forecasting
machine learning
Language
ISSN
2155-7209
Abstract
This report describes initial experimentation to understand and determine the feasibility of developing a machine-learning based approach to forecast stratus clearing times at San Francisco International Airport (SFO). Marine stratus conditions along the approach path into SFO airport frequently require the issuance of a Ground Delay Program by the FAA. To minimize the cost and delay impacts of the reduced arrival capacity, it is of interest to predict, well in advance, when these stratus events will clear. This prediction of the arrival capacity increase permits planning an optimal release schedule for ground-delayed aircraft, such that aircraft arrive soon after the stratus has cleared, without affecting the safety of landing aircraft. Two different machine learning approaches have been developed and are described in this paper, including machine learning training and testing results.