학술논문

Quantifying Risk in an Uncertain Future: The Evolution of Resource Adequacy
Document Type
Periodical
Source
IEEE Power and Energy Magazine IEEE Power and Energy Mag. Power and Energy Magazine, IEEE. 19(6):29-36 Jan, 2021
Subject
Power, Energy and Industry Applications
Geoscience
Wind
Renewable energy sources
Hydraulic turbines
Wind energy
Power grids
Power system reliability
Timing
Language
ISSN
1540-7977
1558-4216
Abstract
As our power grids transition toward a decarbonized energy mix, ensuring reliability and provision of grid services remains paramount. The power system has always been heavily influenced by the weather—extreme temperatures determine the timing of peak demand, winter cold snaps can limit natural gas supply, gas turbine reliability and output are affected by ambient conditions, and hydro output varies seasonally and annually. However, as the grid increasingly relies on variable renewable energy (VRE), like wind and solar, the attention to reliability and weather conditions is increasingly important. The implications of changing reliability are large. The Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) rolling blackouts from earlier this year impacted millions of people across the state and could be seen from space (Figure 1).