학술논문

Integrated Clinical and CT Based Artificial Intelligence Nomogram for Predicting Severity and Need for Ventilator Support in COVID-19 Patients: A Multi-Site Study
Document Type
Periodical
Source
IEEE Journal of Biomedical and Health Informatics IEEE J. Biomed. Health Inform. Biomedical and Health Informatics, IEEE Journal of. 25(11):4110-4118 Nov, 2021
Subject
Bioengineering
Communication, Networking and Broadcast Technologies
Components, Circuits, Devices and Systems
Computing and Processing
Signal Processing and Analysis
COVID-19
Convolutional neural networks
Deep learning
Ventilators
Intubation
deep learning
nomograms
prognosis
ventilator
Language
ISSN
2168-2194
2168-2208
Abstract
Almost 25% of COVID-19 patients end up in ICU needing critical mechanical ventilation support. There is currently no validated objective way to predict which patients will end up needing ventilator support, when the disease is mild and not progressed. N = 869 patients from two sites (D 1 : N = 822, D 2 : N = 47) with baseline clinical characteristics and chest CT scans were considered for this study. The entire dataset was randomly divided into 70% training, D 1 train (N = 606) and 30% test-set (D test : D 1 test (N = 216) + D 2 (N = 47)). An expert radiologist delineated ground-glass-opacities (GGOs) and consolidation regions on a subset of D 1 train , (D 1 train_sub , N = 88). These regions were automatically segmented and used along with their corresponding CT volumes to train an imaging AI predictor (AIP) on D 1 train to predict the need of mechanical ventilators for COVID-19 patients. Finally, top five prognostic clinical factors selected using univariate analysis were integrated with AIP to construct an integrated clinical and AI imaging nomogram (ClAIN). Univariate analysis identified lactate dehydrogenase, prothrombin time, aspartate aminotransferase, %lymphocytes, albumin as top five prognostic clinical features. AIP yielded an AUC of 0.81 on D test and was independently prognostic irrespective of other clinical parameters on multivariable analysis (p