학술논문

A probabilistic process to balance reliability and cost for a station design
Document Type
Conference
Source
2004 International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems Probabilistic methods applied to power systems Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems, 2004 International Conference on. :475-480 2004
Subject
Power, Energy and Industry Applications
Costs
Substations
Maintenance
Power generation economics
Performance analysis
Sensitivity analysis
Performance evaluation
Design methodology
Reliability engineering
Design engineering
Language
Abstract
This paper presents a probabilistic process for selecting a station design by balancing cost and reliability. Four station designs were evaluated using reliability indexes and economic analysis to come up with the most cost effective and reliable design overall. For each design option, we performed an economic analysis using net present value (NPV) of total costs (capital, O&M, and outage). We then used the analysis results to rank the options. A number of sensitivity studies on the NPV of total cost were conducted to examine the effect of varying major parameters on the ranked options. The process was applied to a real case study performed for one of the Idaho Power Company (IPC) substations.