학술논문

Climate impact on flood changes – an Austrian-Ukrainian comparison
Document Type
article
Source
Journal of Hydrology and Hydromechanics, Vol 71, Iss 3, Pp 271-282 (2023)
Subject
timing of floods
seasonality
circular kernel density histograms
trends in flood magnitude
climate change
Hydraulic engineering
TC1-978
Language
English
ISSN
1338-4333
Abstract
This study compares the flood regime of rivers in Ukraine and Austria over the last decades. We used data from mountain and lowland watersheds, where floods are caused by different processes. In order to identify possible shifts in the day of occurrence of annual flood maxima, we apply the kernel density method to the time series of two subperiods (1960–1987 and 1988–2015). We use the Mann Kendall test at a 5% significance level to identify significant positive or negative trends in the series of annual maximum discharges. In Austria, we observe an increasing trend in summer floods associated with increasing precipitation. In the lowland areas of Ukraine, a clear reduction in spring floods is observed, linked to shallower snow packs in a warming climate. In the Ukrainian Carpathians, on the other hand, where floods occur throughout the year, an increase in the portion of liquid precipitation during the cold period of the year leads to earlier floods and an increase in the probability of flooding in winter.