부산대학교 도서관

With the aim of developing prediction techniques of meteorological and climatological phenomena we develop a simu¬lation of the mechanisms of influence of heliophysical parameters on atmospheric parameters. The physical mechanism of the influence of solar and geomagnetic activities and other cosmophysical factors on the behaviour of the weather, pres¬sure, Earth’s temperature, precipitation, atmospheric circulation, and stormicity is reviewed. The different mechanisms of the influence of solar activity (SA) on meteorological and climatological parameters and on the behaviour of experimental meteorological and climatological data at different cycles of the SA are also discussed. The behaviour of experimental data is compared with the predictions of theoretical models of the influence of SA on the lower atmosphere: our results indicate a relationship between the variations of atmospheric parameters and variations of galactic (GCR) and solar (SCR) cosmic rays and atmosphere transparency. The predictions of different scientific works in the field of helioclimatology are ana¬lyzed, and it is shown that Pudovkin’s model of the influence of SA on the lower atmosphere is correct. Finally, a method for the prediction of the different meteorological and climatological parameters using previous data on them as well as on SA, GCR and SCR is proposed.