학술논문

Preventing crash in stock market: The role of economic policy uncertainty during COVID-19
Document Type
article
Source
Financial Innovation, Vol 7, Iss 1, Pp 1-15 (2021)
Subject
COVID-19
Economic policy uncertainty
Crash risk
Skewness
Public finance
K4430-4675
Finance
HG1-9999
Language
English
ISSN
2199-4730
Abstract
Abstract This paper investigates the impact of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on the crash risk of US stock market during the COVID-19 pandemic. To this end, we use the GARCH-S (GARCH with skewness) model to estimate daily skewness as a proxy for the stock market crash risk. The empirical results show the significantly negative correlation between EPU and stock market crash risk, indicating the aggravation of EPU increase the crash risk. Moreover, the negative correlation gets stronger after the global COVID-19 outbreak, which shows the crash risk of the US stock market will be more affected by EPU during the epidemic.