학술논문

Tail dependence in emerging ASEAN-6 equity markets: empirical evidence from quantitative approaches
Document Type
article
Source
Financial Innovation, Vol 6, Iss 1, Pp 1-26 (2020)
Subject
ASEAN
Stock indexes
Chi-plots
K-plots
T-copulas
Time-varying copulas
Public finance
K4430-4675
Finance
HG1-9999
Language
English
ISSN
2199-4730
Abstract
Abstract This study contributes a rich set of quantitative methodologies including a non-parametric approach (Chi-plots and K-plots) as well as copulas (traditional and time-varying with Student’s t-copulas) to the existing literature in terms of determining the dependence structure in ASEAN stock markets. Drawing on the emerging ASEAN equity returns of six countries from January 2001 to December 2017, we found that Student’s t-copulas under time-varying approach is the most appropriate approach to explain these co-movements. Among all research return pairs, the dependence between Vietnam and other ASEAN equity indices has the lowest value. Meanwhile, all couples show left- and right- tail dependence by each pair for pre- and post- financial shocks. Hence, diversification across these pairs of equity markets from ASEAN is still adequate for international investors, though it might trigger contagion risks.