학술논문
The impact of thrombosis on probabilities of death and disease progression in polycythemia vera: a multistate transition analysis of 1,545 patients
Document Type
article
Author
Source
Blood Cancer Journal, Vol 13, Iss 1, Pp 1-5 (2023)
Subject
Language
English
ISSN
2044-5385
Abstract
Abstract We applied a parametric Markov five-state model, on a well-characterized international cohort of 1,545 patients with polycythemia vera (PV; median age 61 years; females 51%), in order to examine the impact of incident thrombosis on the trajectory of death or disease progression. At a median follow-up of 6.9 years, 347 (23%) deaths, 50 (3%) blast phase (BP), and 138 (9%) fibrotic (post-PV MF) transformations were recorded. Incident thrombosis occurred at a rate of 2.62% pt/yr (arterial 1.59% and venous 1.05%). The probability of death, in the first 10 years, for 280 (18%) patients who developed thrombosis during follow-up was 40%, which was two-fold higher than that seen in the absence of thrombosis or any other transition state (20%; p