학술논문

Mathematical and statistical models for the control of mosquito-borne diseases: the experience of Costa Rica
Document Type
article
Source
Revista Panamericana de Salud Pública, Vol 46, Iss 113, Pp 1-5 (2022)
Subject
vector-borne diseases
models, theoretical
public health
costa rica
Medicine
Arctic medicine. Tropical medicine
RC955-962
Public aspects of medicine
RA1-1270
Language
English
Spanish; Castilian
Portuguese
ISSN
1020-4989
1680-5348
Abstract
Objective. To summarize the results of research conducted in Costa Rica in which mathematical and statistical methods were implemented to study the transmission dynamics of mosquito-borne diseases. Methods. Three articles with mathematical and statistical analysis on vector-borne diseases in Costa Rica were selected and reviewed. These papers show the value and relevance of using different quantitative methods to understand disease dynamics and support decision-making. Results. The results of these investigations: 1) show the impact on dengue case reports when a second pathogen emerges, such as chikungunya; 2) recover key parameters in Zika dynamics using Bayesian inference; and 3) show the use of machine learning algorithms and climatic variables to forecast the dengue relative risk in five different locations. Conclusions. Mathematical and statistical modeling enables the description of mosquito-borne disease transmission dynamics, providing quantitative information to support prevention/control methods and resource allocation planning.