학술논문

Epidemiology of confirmed measles virus cases, surveillance, incidence, and associated factors in Eritrea: 18-year retrospective analysis
Document Type
article
Source
Frontiers in Public Health, Vol 11 (2023)
Subject
measles
surveillance
vaccination
epidemiology
spatial inequality
Public aspects of medicine
RA1-1270
Language
English
ISSN
2296-2565
Abstract
BackgroundDespite the outstanding measles vaccine coverage (MVC) in Eritrea, sporadic outbreaks are not uncommon. Therefore, understanding the incidence of laboratory-confirmed measles virus cases, related factors, and spatial inequalities in testing and surveillance remains crucial. In this analysis, we evaluated the incidence and spatiotemporal distribution of measles in Eritrea. An evaluation of the factors associated with measles vaccination and IgM positive (+) febrile rash was also undertaken.MethodsA retrospective (period: 2002–2020) study was carried out by abstracting data from the integrated disease surveillance and response database (IDSR). Data was analyzed using descriptive statistics and binary logistic regression. Spatial variability and distribution of confirmed cases was evaluated using ArcGIS Pro version 3.0.1.ResultsIn total, 9,111 suspected cases, 2,767 [1,431 (51.7%) females] were serologically tested. The median (IQR) age, minimum-maximum age were 7 years (IQR: 4–14 years) and 1 month-97 years, respectively. Among the 608(21.9%) laboratory-confirmed cases, 534 (87.8%) were unvaccinated and 53 (9.92%) were 30 years presenting with the highest rates (69.9/100,000). Higher odds (OR) of MV test positivity was associated with age at onset – higher in the following age-bands [10–14 years: OR = 1.6 (95%CI, 1.1–2.2, value of p = 0.005); 15–29 years: OR = 7.0 (95%CI, 5.3–9.2, value of p = 0.005); and > =30 years: OR = 16.7 (95%CI, 11.7–24) p 2015: OR = 1.4, 95%CI: 1.1–1.7, value of p