학술논문

Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard and Risk Analysis: A Review of Research Gaps
Document Type
article
Source
Frontiers in Earth Science, Vol 9 (2021)
Subject
tsunami
probabilistic method
hazard
risk
research gap
Science
Language
English
ISSN
2296-6463
Abstract
Tsunamis are unpredictable and infrequent but potentially large impact natural disasters. To prepare, mitigate and prevent losses from tsunamis, probabilistic hazard and risk analysis methods have been developed and have proved useful. However, large gaps and uncertainties still exist and many steps in the assessment methods lack information, theoretical foundation, or commonly accepted methods. Moreover, applied methods have very different levels of maturity, from already advanced probabilistic tsunami hazard analysis for earthquake sources, to less mature probabilistic risk analysis. In this review we give an overview of the current state of probabilistic tsunami hazard and risk analysis. Identifying research gaps, we offer suggestions for future research directions. An extensive literature list allows for branching into diverse aspects of this scientific approach.