학술논문

Lifetime Risk of Heart Failure and Trends in Incidence Rates Among Individuals With Type 2 Diabetes Between 1995 and 2018
Document Type
article
Source
Journal of the American Heart Association: Cardiovascular and Cerebrovascular Disease, Vol 10, Iss 21 (2021)
Subject
cumulative risk
heart failure
incidence rate
temporal trends
type 2 diabetes
Diseases of the circulatory (Cardiovascular) system
RC666-701
Language
English
ISSN
2047-9980
Abstract
Background There are limited data on the lifetime risk of heart failure (HF) in people with type 2 diabetes and how incidence has changed over time. We estimated the cumulative incidence and incidence rates of HF among Danish adults with type 2 diabetes between 1995 and 2018 using nationwide data. Methods and Results In total, 398 422 patients (49% women) with type 2 diabetes were identified. During follow‐up, 36 400 (9%) were diagnosed with HF and 121 459 (30%) were censored due to death. Using the Aalen‐Johansen estimators, accounting for the risk of death, the estimated residual lifetime risk of HF at age 50 years was calculated as 24% (95% CI 22%–27%) in women and 27% (25%–28%) in men. During the observational period, the proportion of patients treated with statins, angiotensin‐converting enzyme inhibitors or angiotensin II receptor blockers, and metformin increased from 60%. Similarly, the annual incidence rates of HF decreased significantly, with declines being greater in older versus younger individuals (5% versus 2% in age >50 versus ≤50 years, respectively; P