학술논문

A mathematical analysis of the impact of maternally derived immunity and double-dose vaccination on the spread and control of measles
Document Type
research-article
Source
Computational and Mathematical Biophysics. 11(1)
Subject
basic reproduction number
Runge-Kutta fourth-order method
stability
bifurcation
sensitivity
92D30
37N25
34D20
92B05
92D25
Research Article
Language
English
ISSN
2544-7297
Abstract
Measles is a highly communicable viral infection that mostly affects children aged 5 years and below. Maternal antibodies in neonates help protect them from infectious diseases, including measles. However, maternal antibodies disappear a few months after birth, necessitating vaccination against measles. A mathematical model of measles, incorporating maternal antibodies and a double-dose vaccination, was proposed. Whenever ℛ 0 < 1 {{\mathcal{ {\mathcal R} }}}_{0}\lt 1 , the model is shown to be locally asymptotically stable. This means that the measles disease can be eliminated under such conditions in a finite time. It was established that ℛ 0 {{\mathcal{ {\mathcal R} }}}_{0} is highly sensitive to β \beta (the transmission rate). A numerical simulation of the model using the Runge-Kutta fourth-order scheme was carried out, showing that varying the parameters to reduce ℛ 0 {{\mathcal{ {\mathcal R} }}}_{0} will help control the measles disease and ultimately lead to eradication. The measles-mumps-rubella (MMR) vaccine dosage should be adjusted for babies from recovered mothers, as maternal antibodies are usually high in such babies and can interfere with the effectiveness of the MMR vaccine.