학술논문
Hourly Warning for Strong Earthquakes
Document Type
Working Paper
Author
Chen, T.; Li, L.; Zhang, X. -X.; Wang, C.; Jin, X. -B.; Ma, Q. -M.; Xu, J. -Y.; He, Z. -H.; Li, H.; Xiao, S. -G.; Wang, X. -Z.; Shen, X. -H.; Zhang, X. -M.; Li, H. -B.; Zeren, Z. -M.; Huang, J. -P.; Huang, F. -Q.; Che, S.; Zou, Z. -M.; Xiong, P.; Liu, J.; Zhang, L. -Q.; Guo, Q.; Roth, I.; Makhmutov, V. S.; Liu, Yong; Huang, Z. -H.; Luo, J.; Jiang, X. -J.; Dai, L.; Duan, S. -P.; Peng, X. -D.; Hu, X.; Wu, H.; Ti, S.; Zeng, C.; Song, J. -J.; Xiao, F.; Guo, J. -G.; Yao, L.; Du, A. -M.; Wei, Y.; Yuan, H.; Wang, S.; Cui, H. -Y.; Li, C.; Liu, Y.; Yang, J.; Sun, Q.; Su, J. -F.; Li, W.; Zhang, Y. -C.; Li, D. -L.; Wang, S. -H.; Cai, C. -L.; Yan, G. -Q.
Source
Subject
Language
Abstract
A promising perspective is presented that humans can provide hourly warning for strong land earthquakes (EQs, Ms6). Two important atmospheric electrostatic signal features are described. A table that lists 9 strong land EQs with shock time, epicenter, magnitude, weather in the region near the epicenter, precursor beginning time, and precursor duration demonstrates that at approximately several hours to one day before a strong land EQ, the weather conditions are fair near the epicenter, and an abnormal negative atmospheric electrostatic signal is very obvious. Moreover, the mechanism is explained. A method by which someone could determine the epicenter and the magnitude of a forthcoming strong EQ is suggested. Finally, the possibility of realizing hourly warning for strong land EQs in the near future is pointed out.