학술논문

Accounting for spatial confounding in epidemiological studies with individual-level exposures: An exposure-penalized spline approach
Document Type
Working Paper
Source
J R Stat Soc Ser A 2022
Subject
Statistics - Methodology
Language
Abstract
In the presence of unmeasured spatial confounding, spatial models may actually increase (rather than decrease) bias, leading to uncertainty as to how they should be applied in practice. We evaluated spatial modeling approaches through simulation and application to a big data electronic health record study. Whereas the risk of bias was high for purely spatial exposures (e.g., built environment), we found very limited potential for increased bias for individual-level exposures that cluster spatially (e.g., smoking status). We also proposed a novel exposure-penalized spline approach that selects the degree of spatial smoothing to explain spatial variability in the exposure. This approach appeared promising for efficiently reducing spatial confounding bias.
Comment: 30 pages, 5 figures, supplemental material