부산대학교 도서관

Carbon peaking and carbon neutrality are major strategies for China to achieve green and sustainable development. As the pilot area of China's reform and opening up, the the Pearl River Delta is one of the potential areas that can take the lead in achieving carbon peak. We collected the carbon emission data of the the Pearl River Delta from 2012 to 2020, and found that the high carbon emissions of the the Pearl River Delta are mainly concentrated in the central region, of which Guangzhou has the highest annual carbon emissions and the regions with high growth rates include Zhuhai, Huizhou and Dongguan. We use GM (1,1) model to predict the carbon emissions of the the Pearl River Delta from 2021 to 2022, and select the fixed effect variable intercept model to analyze the influencing factors of carbon emissions. It is found that the population, per capita gross national product and energy intensity in the the Pearl River Delta have significant effects on carbon emissions. Based on the research results of this article, we propose corresponding emission reduction suggestions.