학술논문

新聞情緒指標與臺灣加權股價指數之關係 / Relationship between News Sentiment Indicator and the Taiwan Weighted Stock Index
Document Type
Article
Source
人文及社會科學集刊 / Journal of Social Sciences and Philosophy. Vol. 33 Issue 3, p383-423. 41 p.
Subject
新聞情緒
投資人情緒
股價指數
文字探勘
交易策略
news sentiment
investor sentiment
stock market index
text mining
trading strategy
Language
繁體中文
ISSN
1018-189X
Abstract
This study explores the relationship between positive and negative news sentiment and the returns on the Taiwan weighted stock index by taking media quantitative information as a news sentiment variable. The findings show that these two sentiment variables and the returns on the stock index are statistically significant. Through further establishment of investment strategies and valuing a long position on an option with transactions costs, this study shows that, for the investment strategy with the negative sentiment, the optimal return is 13.308%, the Sharpe ratio is 0.759, and the ending present value is 1,975,280 thousand. They are higher than those strategies with no sentiment variable. This denotes that the performance indicator is better if the negative sentiment variable is included. The results of this study indicate that the negative sentiment is a better prediction than is positive sentiment, which is consistent with the results of Tetlock (2007) and García (2013).

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