학술논문
Integrated global assessment of the natural forest carbon potential
Document Type
Article
Author
Mo, Lidong; Zohner, Constantin M.; Reich, Peter B.; Liang, Jingjing; de Miguel, Sergio; Nabuurs, Gert-Jan; Renner, Susanne S.; van den Hoogen, Johan; Araza, Arnan; Herold, Martin; Mirzagholi, Leila; Ma, Haozhi; Averill, Colin; Phillips, Oliver L.; Gamarra, Javier G. P.; Hordijk, Iris; Routh, Devin; Abegg, Meinrad; Adou Yao, Yves C.; Alberti, Giorgio; Almeyda Zambrano, Angelica M.; Alvarado, Braulio Vilchez; Alvarez-Dávila, Esteban; Alvarez-Loayza, Patricia; Alves, Luciana F.; Amaral, Iêda; Ammer, Christian; Antón-Fernández, Clara; Araujo-Murakami, Alejandro; Arroyo, Luzmila; Avitabile, Valerio; Aymard, Gerardo A.; Baker, Timothy R.; Bałazy, Radomir; Banki, Olaf; Barroso, Jorcely G.; Bastian, Meredith L.; Bastin, Jean-Francois; Birigazzi, Luca; Birnbaum, Philippe; Bitariho, Robert; Boeckx, Pascal; Bongers, Frans; Bouriaud, Olivier; Brancalion, Pedro H. S.; Brandl, Susanne; Brearley, Francis Q.; Brienen, Roel; Broadbent, Eben N.; Bruelheide, Helge; Bussotti, Filippo; Cazzolla Gatti, Roberto; César, Ricardo G.; Cesljar, Goran; Chazdon, Robin L.; Chen, Han Y. H.; Chisholm, Chelsea; Cho, Hyunkook; Cienciala, Emil; Clark, Connie; Clark, David; Colletta, Gabriel D.; Coomes, David A.; Cornejo Valverde, Fernando; Corral-Rivas, José J.; Crim, Philip M.; Cumming, Jonathan R.; Dayanandan, Selvadurai; de Gasper, André L.; Decuyper, Mathieu; Derroire, Géraldine; DeVries, Ben; Djordjevic, Ilija; Dolezal, Jiri; Dourdain, Aurélie; Engone Obiang, Nestor Laurier; Enquist, Brian J.; Eyre, Teresa J.; Fandohan, Adandé Belarmain; Fayle, Tom M.; Feldpausch, Ted R.; Ferreira, Leandro V.; Finér, Leena; Fischer, Markus; Fletcher, Christine; Frizzera, Lorenzo; Gianelle, Damiano; Glick, Henry B.; Harris, David J.; Hector, Andrew; Hemp, Andreas; Hengeveld, Geerten; Hérault, Bruno; Herbohn, John L.; Hillers, Annika; Honorio Coronado, Eurídice N.; Hui, Cang; Ibanez, Thomas; Imai, Nobuo; Jagodziński, Andrzej M.; Jaroszewicz, Bogdan; Johannsen, Vivian Kvist; Joly, Carlos A.; Jucker, Tommaso; Jung, Ilbin; Karminov, Viktor; Kartawinata, Kuswata; Kearsley, Elizabeth; Kenfack, David; Kennard, Deborah K.; Kepfer-Rojas, Sebastian; Keppel, Gunnar; Khan, Mohammed Latif; Killeen, Timothy J.; Kim, Hyun Seok; Kitayama, Kanehiro; Köhl, Michael; Korjus, Henn; Kraxner, Florian; Kucher, Dmitry; Laarmann, Diana; Lang, Mait; Lu, Huicui; Lukina, Natalia V.; Maitner, Brian S.; Malhi, Yadvinder; Marcon, Eric; Marimon, Beatriz Schwantes; Marimon-Junior, Ben Hur; Marshall, Andrew R.; Martin, Emanuel H.; Meave, Jorge A.; Melo-Cruz, Omar; Mendoza, Casimiro; Mendoza-Polo, Irina; Miscicki, Stanislaw; Merow, Cory; Monteagudo Mendoza, Abel; Moreno, Vanessa S.; Mukul, Sharif A.; Mundhenk, Philip; Nava-Miranda, María Guadalupe; Neill, David; Neldner, Victor J.; Nevenic, Radovan V.; Ngugi, Michael R.; Niklaus, Pascal A.; Oleksyn, Jacek; Ontikov, Petr; Ortiz-Malavasi, Edgar; Pan, Yude; Paquette, Alain; Parada-Gutierrez, Alexander; Parfenova, Elena I.; Park, Minjee; Parren, Marc; Parthasarathy, Narayanaswamy; Peri, Pablo L.; Pfautsch, Sebastian; Picard, Nicolas; Piedade, Maria Teresa F.; Piotto, Daniel; Pitman, Nigel C. A.; Poulsen, Axel Dalberg; Poulsen, John R.; Pretzsch, Hans; Ramirez Arevalo, Freddy; Restrepo-Correa, Zorayda; Rodeghiero, Mirco; Rolim, Samir G.; Roopsind, Anand; Rovero, Francesco; Rutishauser, Ervan; Saikia, Purabi; Salas-Eljatib, Christian; Saner, Philippe; Schall, Peter; Schelhaas, Mart-Jan; Schepaschenko, Dmitry; Scherer-Lorenzen, Michael; Schmid, Bernhard; Schöngart, Jochen; Searle, Eric B.; Seben, Vladimír; Serra-Diaz, Josep M.; Sheil, Douglas; Shvidenko, Anatoly Z.; Silva-Espejo, Javier E.; Silveira, Marcos; Singh, James; Sist, Plinio; Slik, Ferry; Sonké, Bonaventure; Souza, Alexandre F.; Stereńczak, Krzysztof J.; Svenning, Jens-Christian; Svoboda, Miroslav; Swanepoel, Ben; Targhetta, Natalia; Tchebakova, Nadja; ter Steege, Hans; Thomas, Raquel; Tikhonova, Elena; Umunay, Peter M.; Usoltsev, Vladimir A.; Valencia, Renato; Valladares, Fernando; van der Plas, Fons; Van Do, Tran; van Nuland, Michael E.; Vasquez, Rodolfo M.; Verbeeck, Hans; Viana, Helder; Vibrans, Alexander C.; Vieira, Simone; von Gadow, Klaus; Wang, Hua-Feng; Watson, James V.; Werner, Gijsbert D. A.; Wiser, Susan K.; Wittmann, Florian; Woell, Hannsjoerg; Wortel, Verginia; Zagt, Roderik; Zawiła-Niedźwiecki, Tomasz; Zhang, Chunyu; Zhao, Xiuhai; Zhou, Mo; Zhu, Zhi-Xin; Zo-Bi, Irie C.; Gann, George D.; Crowther, Thomas W.
Source
Nature; December 2023, Vol. 624 Issue: 7990 p92-101, 10p
Subject
Language
ISSN
00280836; 14764687
Abstract
Forests are a substantial terrestrial carbon sink, but anthropogenic changes in land use and climate have considerably reduced the scale of this system1. Remote-sensing estimates to quantify carbon losses from global forests2–5are characterized by considerable uncertainty and we lack a comprehensive ground-sourced evaluation to benchmark these estimates. Here we combine several ground-sourced6and satellite-derived approaches2,7,8to evaluate the scale of the global forest carbon potential outside agricultural and urban lands. Despite regional variation, the predictions demonstrated remarkable consistency at a global scale, with only a 12% difference between the ground-sourced and satellite-derived estimates. At present, global forest carbon storage is markedly under the natural potential, with a total deficit of 226 Gt (model range = 151–363 Gt) in areas with low human footprint. Most (61%, 139 Gt C) of this potential is in areas with existing forests, in which ecosystem protection can allow forests to recover to maturity. The remaining 39% (87 Gt C) of potential lies in regions in which forests have been removed or fragmented. Although forests cannot be a substitute for emissions reductions, our results support the idea2,3,9that the conservation, restoration and sustainable management of diverse forests offer valuable contributions to meeting global climate and biodiversity targets.