학술논문
Synchrony in adult survival is remarkably strong among common temperate songbirds across France.
Document Type
Academic Journal
Author
Ghislain M; Mécanismes adaptatifs et évolution (MECADEV UMR 7179), Muséum National d'Histoire Naturelle, Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, Brunoy, France.; Centre de Recherches sur la Biologie des Populations d'Oiseaux (CRBPO), Centre d'Ecologie et des Sciences de la Conservation (CESCO UMR 7204), Muséum National d'Histoire Naturelle, Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, Sorbonne Université, CP135, Paris, France.; PatriNat (OFB-MNHN-CNRS-IRD), Centre d'expertise et de données sur le patrimoine naturel, Muséum national d'Histoire naturelle, Paris, France.; Bonnet T; Division of Ecology and Evolution, Research School of Biology, ANU College of Science, The Australian National University, Canberra, ACT, Australia.; Centre d'Études Biologiques de Chizé (CEBC UMR 7372), Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, Villiers en Bois, France.; Godeau U; Mécanismes adaptatifs et évolution (MECADEV UMR 7179), Muséum National d'Histoire Naturelle, Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, Brunoy, France.; Centre de Recherches sur la Biologie des Populations d'Oiseaux (CRBPO), Centre d'Ecologie et des Sciences de la Conservation (CESCO UMR 7204), Muséum National d'Histoire Naturelle, Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, Sorbonne Université, CP135, Paris, France.; Institut national de Recherche en Sciences et Technologies pour l'Environnement et l'Agriculture, Ecosystèmes Forestiers (UR EFNO), Domaine des Barres, Nogent-Sur-Vernisson, France.; Institut National de Recherche pour l'Agriculture l'Alimentation et l'Environnement, UR 406 Abeilles et Environnement, Avignon, France.; Dehorter O; Centre de Recherches sur la Biologie des Populations d'Oiseaux (CRBPO), Centre d'Ecologie et des Sciences de la Conservation (CESCO UMR 7204), Muséum National d'Histoire Naturelle, Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, Sorbonne Université, CP135, Paris, France.; Gimenez O; Centre d'Ecologie Fonctionnelle et Evolutive (CEFE UMR 5175), Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, Université de Montpellier, Université Paul-Valéry Montpellier, Ecole Pratique des Hautes Études, Montpellier Cedex 5, France.; Henry PY; Mécanismes adaptatifs et évolution (MECADEV UMR 7179), Muséum National d'Histoire Naturelle, Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, Brunoy, France.; Centre de Recherches sur la Biologie des Populations d'Oiseaux (CRBPO), Centre d'Ecologie et des Sciences de la Conservation (CESCO UMR 7204), Muséum National d'Histoire Naturelle, Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, Sorbonne Université, CP135, Paris, France.
Source
Publisher: Ecological Society of America Country of Publication: United States NLM ID: 0043541 Publication Model: Print-Electronic Cited Medium: Internet ISSN: 1939-9170 (Electronic) Linking ISSN: 00129658 NLM ISO Abbreviation: Ecology Subsets: MEDLINE
Subject
Language
English
Abstract
Synchronous variation in demographic parameters across species increases the risk of simultaneous local extinction, which lowers the probability of subsequent recolonization. Synchrony therefore tends to destabilize meta-populations and meta-communities. Quantifying interspecific synchrony in demographic parameters, like abundance, survival, or reproduction, is thus a way to indirectly assess the stability of meta-populations and meta-communities. Moreover, it is particularly informative to identify environmental drivers of interspecific synchrony because those drivers are important across species. Using a Bayesian hierarchical multisite multispecies mark-recapture model, we investigated temporal interspecific synchrony in annual adult apparent survival for 16 common songbird species across France for the period 2001-2016. Annual adult survival was largely synchronous among species (73%, 95% credible interval [47%-94%] of the variation among years was common to all species), despite species differing in ecological niche and life history. This result was robust to different model formulations, uneven species sample sizes, and removing the long-term trend in survival. Synchrony was also shared across migratory strategies, which suggests that environmental forcing during the 4-month temperate breeding season has a large-scale, interspecific impact on songbird survival. However, the strong interspecific synchrony was not easily explained by a set of candidate weather variables we defined a priori. Spring weather variables explained only 1.4% [0.01%-5.5%] of synchrony, while the contribution of large-scale winter weather indices may have been stronger but uncertain, accounting for 12% [0.3%-37%] of synchrony. Future research could jointly model interspecific variation and covariation in breeding success, age-dependent survival, and age-dependent dispersal to understand when interspecific synchrony in abundance emerges and destabilizes meta-communities.
(© 2024 The Authors. Ecology published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of The Ecological Society of America.)
(© 2024 The Authors. Ecology published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of The Ecological Society of America.)