학술논문

Subclinical vascular composites predict clinical cardiovascular disease, stroke, and dementia: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA).
Document Type
Academic Journal
Author
Hughes TM; Department of Internal Medicine, Section on Gerontology and Geriatric Medicine, Wake Forest University School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, NC, United States. Electronic address: tmhughes@wakehealth.edu.; Tanley J; Department of Internal Medicine, Section on Gerontology and Geriatric Medicine, Wake Forest University School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, NC, United States.; Chen H; Department of Biostatistics and Data Science, Division of Public Health Sciences, Wake Forest University School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, NC, United States.; Schaich CL; Department of Surgery, Hypertension and Vascular Research Center, Wake Forest University School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, NC, United States.; Yeboah J; Department of Internal Medicine, Section on Cardiovascular Medicine, Wake Forest University School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, NC, United States.; Espeland MA; Department of Biostatistics and Data Science, Division of Public Health Sciences, Wake Forest University School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, NC, United States.; Lima JAC; Department of Medicine, Division of Cardiology, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, United States.; Ambale-Venkatesh B; Department of Medicine, Division of Cardiology, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, United States.; Michos ED; Department of Medicine, Division of Cardiology, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, United States.; Ding J; Department of Internal Medicine, Section on Gerontology and Geriatric Medicine, Wake Forest University School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, NC, United States.; Hayden K; Department of Social Sciences and Health Policy, Division of Public Health Sciences, Wake Forest University School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, NC, United States.; Casanova R; Department of Biostatistics and Data Science, Division of Public Health Sciences, Wake Forest University School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, NC, United States; Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Medicine, Wake Forest University School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, NC, United States.; Craft S; Department of Internal Medicine, Section on Gerontology and Geriatric Medicine, Wake Forest University School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, NC, United States.; Rapp SR; Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Medicine, Wake Forest University School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, NC, United States.; Luchsinger JA; Departments of Medicine and Epidemiology, Columbia University Medical Center, New York, NY, United States.; Fitzpatrick AL; Department of Epidemiology, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States.; Heckbert SR; Department of Epidemiology, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States.; Post WS; Department of Medicine, Division of Cardiology, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, United States.; Burke GL; Division of Public Health Sciences, Wake Forest University School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, NC, United States.
Source
Publisher: Elsevier Country of Publication: Ireland NLM ID: 0242543 Publication Model: Print-Electronic Cited Medium: Internet ISSN: 1879-1484 (Electronic) Linking ISSN: 00219150 NLM ISO Abbreviation: Atherosclerosis Subsets: MEDLINE
Subject
Language
English
Abstract
Background and Aims: Subclinical cardiovascular disease (CVD) measures may reflect biological pathways that contribute to increased risk for coronary heart disease (CHD) events, stroke, and dementia beyond conventional risk scores.
Methods: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) followed 6814 participants (45-84 years of age) from baseline in 2000-2002 to 2018 over 6 clinical examinations and annual follow-up interviews. MESA baseline subclinical CVD procedures included: seated and supineblood pressure, coronary calcium scan, radial artery tonometry, and carotid ultrasound. Baseline subclinical CVD measures were transformed into z-scores before factor analysis to derive composite factor scores. Time to clinical event for all-cause CVD, CHD, stroke and ICD code-based dementia events were modeled using Cox proportional hazards models reported as area under the curve (AUC) with 95% Confidence Intervals (95%CI) at 10 and 15 years of follow-up. All models included all factor scores together, and adjustment for conventional risk scores for global CVD, stroke, and dementia.
Results: After factor selection, 24 subclinical measures aggregated into four distinct factors representing: blood pressure, atherosclerosis, arteriosclerosis, and cardiac factors. Each factor significantly predicted time to CVD events and dementia at 10 and 15 years independent of each other and conventional risk scores. Subclinical vascular composites of atherosclerosis and arteriosclerosis best predicted time to clinical events of CVD, CHD, stroke, and dementia. These results were consistent across sex and racial and ethnic groups.
Conclusions: Subclinical vascular composites of atherosclerosis and arteriosclerosis may be useful biomarkers to inform the vascular pathways contributing to events of CVD, CHD, stroke, and dementia.
Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest statement The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.
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