학술논문

AN ALTERNATIVE APPROACH TO MODELING RECIDIVISM USING QUANTILE RESIDUAL LIFE FUNCTIONS.
Document Type
Article
Source
Operations Research. May/Jun92, Vol. 40 Issue 3, p485. 20p.
Subject
Recidivism
Crime prevention
Mathematical functions
Models & modelmaking
Rehabilitation of criminals
Population
Criminal justice planning
Criminal law
Language
ISSN
0030-364X
Abstract
Empirical estimates of quantile residual life functions can be employed effectively to obtain properties of recidivism and to help screen parametric mixture models. In this manner, the Burr model is demonstrated to be an appropriate model for characterizing recidivism. When applied to certain data, the model suggests that while the observed declining recidivism rate can be explained by population heterogeneity, individual recidivism rates may m fact be increasing. The quantile residual life function approach to modeling recidivism is applied to two often-referenced data sets, as well as to an extensive data set obtained from the State of New York which is new to the criminal justice literature [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]