부산대학교 도서관

2020 Kalshi, founded by MIT alums Tarek Mansour and Luana Lopes Lara, wins CFTC approval to operate, but not election markets. With PredictIt's fate uncertain and Kalshi's application for election markets under review, it would be hard to bet on the fate of political prediction markets. YesNo, but it's applied to do soYesRelationship with Commodity Futures Trading CommissionOrdered in August 2022 to wind down by February 2023 for not adhering to CFTC rulesNamed one former CFTC commissioner to its board; head of regulatory affairs is CFTC alumFined $1.4 million in January 2022 for running unregistered contract market, moved offshoreMost popular market (September 2022)GOP Senate seats after MidtermsFed interest rates September 2022Who will win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Flip Pidot, a former trader who's been working to establish political prediction markets since 2008 - and who's worked with both PredictIt and a crypto-based alternative called Polymarket (see chart, page 68) - talks about an ancillary benefit of these markets being greater civic engagement. [Extracted from the article]