학술논문

Mining in space could spur sustainable growth.
Document Type
Article
Source
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 10/24/2023, Vol. 120 Issue 43, p1-8. 22p.
Subject
*EARTH (Planet)
*MINES & mineral resources
*COMMERCIAL space ventures
*ECONOMIC impact
*ROCKET launching
Language
ISSN
0027-8424
Abstract
Growth models with resources and environmental externalities typically assume that planet Earth is a closed economy. However, private firms like Blue Origin and SpaceX have reduced the cost of rocket launches by a factor of 20 over the last decade. What if these costs continue to decline, making mining from asteroids or the moon feasible? What would be the implications for economic growth and the environment? This paper provides stylized facts about cost trends, geology, and the environmental impact of mining on Earth and potentially in Space. We extend a neoclassical growth model to investigate the transition from mining on Earth to Space. We find that such a transition could potentially allow for continued growth of metal use, while limiting environmental and social costs on Earth. Acknowledging the high uncertainty around the topic, our paper provides a starting point for research on how Space mining could contribute to sustainable growth on Earth. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]