학술논문

Modeling Acute Rheumatic Fever.
Document Type
Article
Source
Mathematical Population Studies. Oct-Dec2015, Vol. 22 Issue 4, p187-208. 22p.
Subject
*RHEUMATIC fever treatment
*HEART diseases
*STREPTOCOCCUS
*PUBLIC health
*RHEUMATIC fever diagnosis
Language
ISSN
0889-8480
Abstract
Acute rheumatic fever (ARF) is a major cause of heart disease, rare in developed countries, but of concern in New Zealand, where a unique feature is the prevalence of ARF among Maori and Pacific Island peoples. The incidence and prevalence of ARF in a population are modeled for the New Zealand case, where risks of contracting Group A Streptococcus or developing ARF are allowed to vary according to ethnicity, age, and ARF history. The critical parameterR0determines whether a disease will become epidemic or not. A proportional treatment protocol is the most effective at reducing ARF. [ABSTRACT FROM PUBLISHER]